A Tea-storm thundered thru the area on Tuesday, leaving behind a debris trail of lifeless yardsigns with nothing left to signify other than the demise of too many political careers. That Tea-storm was the primary election -- fueled by an insurrection of a merciless few voters willing to brave the elements to cast down their ballots of doom and destruction. The visible spoils of their carnage: red/white/blue
Proud to Vote stickers, prominently displayed like war-scalps of vanquished enemies.
All of which means, LakeCountyEye operatives, it's time for the post-mortem -- Illinois Primary, version 2010!
There were some big Winners/Losers this time around:
| Big Winner | Big Loser | Contest |
| Tom Morrison | Suzie Bassi | 54th Legislative |
| Robert Dold | Elizabeth Coulson | 10th Congress |
| Joe Walsh | Maria Rodriguez | 8th Congress |
| Ryan Higgins | Anita Forte-Scott | 56th Legislative |
| Dan Sugrue | Cynthia Hebda | 59th Legislative |
These candidates all fit an electoral pattern of sorts your LakeCountyEye had noticed this cycle. There were a lot of primary contests that paired a conservative male outsider against a moderate female insider. For those keeping score it seems like the conservative males ran the table ...
Male + Conservative + Outsider = 5
Female + Moderate + Insider = 0
Well almost. There were some female candidates who survived their primaries:
| Winner | Loser | Contest |
| Sandy Cole | Paul Mitchell | 62nd Legislative |
| Carol Sente | Elliott Hartstein | 59th Legislative |
Leveling the score a bit down to ...
Male + Conservative + Outsider = 5
Female + Moderate + Insider = 2
Suzie Bassi is/was a sitting State Rep. Anita Forte-Scott and Cynthia Hebda were Republican machine picks. But two of these upsets were, well, upsets -- the two Congressional races. Your LakeCountyEye expected to see the congressional female machine recruits -- Elizabeth Coulson & Maria Rodriguez -- representing the GOP in November. These calls were slam dunks, people -- TeamAmerica even endorsed Coulson over sentimental favorite Robert Dold. Now, post election, TA is channelling his inner
Glenn Beck ...
Okay, nitwit. I will be supporting Dold in the fall, despite people like you that simply want to gloat. If this blog isn't good enough for you, please go start your own.
Congratulations to Our GOP Winners: Kirk, Dold, Sugrue, Cole; Gov Still Uncertain
Tina Fey could learn a thing or two from TA!
There are theories being tossed around to explain these upset victories. But your LakeCountyEye attributes the success of Joe Walsh & Robert Dold to all the earned media they accrued from being featured on -- this blog:
your LakeCountyEye Google "joe walsh" site:lakecountyeye.blogspot.com
Google "robert dold" site:lakecountyeye.blogspot.com
And when the writein numbers are all counted, don't be surprised if LakeCountyEye favorite son Jonathan Farnick doubles, triples, quadruples, even, expectations.
Google "jonathan farnick" site:lakecountyeye.blogspot.com
According to your LakeCountyEye tally-sheet, a single mention on the LakeCountyEye is good for a hundred votes. A picture wins your candidate an additional five hundred. A feature post is worth a thousand ballots cast your way. Campaign staff may contact the LakeCountyEye sales department for a rate card.
Conventional wisdom says the record low poll turnout was a factor this primary. Most Illinois voters probably either forgot or never knew their primary is now in February. And speaking of February, who in their right mind wants to even think about voting in February? All things being equal, your LakeCountyEye would rather be in the S
eyechelle Islands right about now.
So who's left to vote? Well for starters, anyone who can't afford that S
eyechelle ocean condo. Tea-partiers, mostly, according to LakeCountyEye poll-watchers. Folks who say things like ...
I want my country back!
Which is code for ...
I don't have a job, the economy is in the toilet, but I can't admit I voted for the ass-clown who got us all here. Twice.
Angry and nowhere to go but to the voting booth. Anyone willing to take on the early February snows to vote in a primary is likely to be someone on a mission. And incumbents typically are not among those to inspire missionary fervor. Candidates who were able to tap into that tea-party anger did well for themselves.
The primary was moved up to February to give Obama his advantage in 2008. Sober, skeptical minds think otherwise -- pulling the primary six weeks up in the calendar was for nothing but incumbent re-election insurance. With only a month of actual time to campaign, challengers would be at a disadvantage. In theory, at least. However scheduling the primary on a snowy Feb 2 all but insured a record low turnout. And low turnouts work against incumbents -- incumbents count on their margin of victory to come from that 33% middle pool of casual uninformed voters. Challengers who can get out the vote can make a low turnout election work to their advantage.
And things didn't turn out quite a planned for Primary ver. 2010. The machine caught a monkeywrench Feb 2. And it's looking to be a long hot summer. Will cooler winds prevail in the fall or will the gales of November come early? The magic crystal ball predicts
Wait and See.